BBC Newsnight: Man explains how "unbearable" Italian heatwave is
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The beginning of this week will see temperatures reach 20C with thicker clouds and patchy rain persisting from the northwest later on. Tuesday will bring in more sunshine and more warm temperatures, with clouds and rain in some areas. The Met Office’s Nicola Maxey said that the conditions will continue to improve throughout the week, with “warm sunshine and dry conditions from midweek onwards”.
For the week of August 23 – August 29, the BBC forecast says: “We have high confidence in the high pressure and above-average temperatures, but lower confidence just how warm it will get as this will be very sensitive to the exact position of the high.
“As high pressure sits overhead for longer, it will help warm up the air stuck in place overhead, so we anticipate that temperatures will be widely above average for many of the days.
“With this comes an increased chance for a heatwave to develop.”
Brian Gaze from The Weather Outlook has also claimed that Britain could be hit with a searing heatwave towards the end of this month with the latest weather charts suggesting “blowtorch” conditions are on the way.
And an alternative weather map, by The Weather Outlook, suggests conditions could even peak at above 30C later this month.
Mr Gaze posted a weather map on Twitter indicating hot weather could soon move in as it appeared to sweep across the English Channel from Europe on Sunday, August 22, into Monday, August 23.
Alongside the ECM 12z chart, which shows layers of red colours covering Britain, Mr Gaze wrote: “ECM 12z also bringing the blowtorch in during the last week of August. 20C 850s into the south.
“Could be wrong but I suspect that would be hotter than any air mass visiting the UK in the 1980s.”
Asked what this could mean if this weather model came true, Mr Gaze told one user on social media: “At that range forecast accuracy is VERY low so don’t take it at face value.
“But if that pattern develops we could expect it to turn hot.”
In an alternative weather chart, Mr Gaze posted a model which suggested heat could bake Britain on August 26.
In the 2m max temperature chart, London appears to hit highs of 31C with warm air seen across the country.
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And Mr Gaze suggested this could be possible if the UK tapped into warm European air.
Mr Gaze added: “Probability forecasts still show a warming trend during the last third of August. Jam tomorrow? We’ll see!
“GFS op run one of several hot runs & shows temps > 30C. If we do tap the bottled heat in southern Spain who knows what could happen late August?”
Now, the BBC has added that the warm spell could extend into September – but it will most likely be in the south.
The BBC forecast says: “High pressure looks like it may cling on for the start of the month as it gradually declines in northern Europe.
“Confidence for September comes with a rather healthy caveat depending on hurricane activity.
“This means the risk scenario is that high pressure remains strong and entrenched overhead, keeping things warmer and drier than normal and prolonging the summerlike weather.”
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